His iron play remains well-suited to the venue and he no longer needs to worry about trying to become the first debutant winner at the Masters since Fuzzy Zoeller in Woods opened as the betting favorite for the Masters following his fifth green jacket victory in He opened with a share of the 12th-best odds at both DraftKings and FanDuel for after finishing T in the first-ever fall Masters.
He birdied five of his last six holes after taking a 10 on the par 3, 12th to get back to 1-under for the tournament. He tied for 10th in his Masters debut in but missed the last two runnings of the event. Following his record-breaking Masters win and five-shot victory at under par, Johnson is favored to go back-to-back. Jon Rahm T7 finished top 10 and all four of those golf superstars finished double digits under par. The Master favorite Bryson DeChambeau T34 finished outside the top 30 as the most bet player to win the Masters.
DeChambeau, meanwhile, barely made the cut at the Masters as he was even par through 36 holes and in a way tie for 50th place. Heexplained some of the issues he was having with being disoriented on the golf course at Augusta National. I just feel kind of dull and numb out there, just not fully aware of everything, and making some silly, silly mistakes for sure. I have no idea. Just dizziness. It was really weird.
I missed a lot of putts today. I hit a wedge into 1 and it spun 30 feet back and off the green. So hopefully we can come up with a ball that will do some more things that will be helpful. Expect to see even more betting on Johnson as the favorite. Most sportsbooks had a solid win when DeChambeau failed to win the Masters or even finish in the top BetMGM took a small loss as Johnson was second in tickets and money wagered in the Masters, and also bet heavily in the tournament match-up over DeChambeau.
Johnson closed as the second choice before the tournament. Johnson dominated the field from tee to green, gaining He hit 60 greens in regulation, the most by any player at the Masters since Tiger Woods also hit 60 in And DJ made only four bogeys, the fewest ever by a winner. For the second consecutive year, Augusta National yielded the lowest scoring average in Masters history.
At Streaming options: Streaming is available on Masters. Closer to the start of the tournament, many additional bet types will be released as the field finalizes and first- and second-round groupings and tee times are released. These expanded markets will include two- or three-ball matchups for individual rounds, or for the tournament as a whole. Matchups will be set for playing partners, golfers with a similar world ranking, or any number of other shared traits. Larger pools of golfers will be grouped by world ranking, nationality, or previous results as a form of prop bet.
Simpler lines will be set for players to make or miss the cut. The odds for each golfer in the field will drop with the wider range of their finish. Straight Forecast betting, popularized in horse racing, is a form of parlay requiring the correct prediction of the finishing order of the winner and runner-up. These consist of two wagers on each golfer, with one being for the outright victory and one being for a finish within the Top 3 or Top 5 of the field.
Course history, current form, and key stats are essential areas of research for any golf tournament but are each especially applicable to the Masters. The only major to be played at the same venue each year and against a similar strength of field, course history is more relevant than anywhere else. Seasonal results, particularly at the major events and those closest to the Masters will have great effects on the odds.
Not only will the bookmakers adjust the odds for the winners and top finishers as they move up the OWGR and money list, but the odds will also reflect the number of bets and percentage of the betting handle coming in on certain golfers. Be sure to regularly check-in on the PGA Tour futures odds at multiple books, and always be ready to pounce on discrepancies and inflated numbers as a result of a poor finish or injury. Be sure to always hedge your outright picks and bets against a wider range of props and matchup bets.
These safer plays should receive a significantly larger portion of your bankroll. In-play betting can also help hedge against your futures bets by looking at Strokes Gained data after each round. This data gives a better sense of golfers who could be poised for a big weekend despite their odds remaining high if only narrowly making the cut. Understanding the course and knowing how to play the holes and where to place shots are essential for success at Augusta.
But forecasting players putting week-to-week can be difficult. Length is an advantage at Augusta, which plays to a par 72 and 7, yards but plays longer with a number of uphill holes and the grain of the fairways pointing back towards the tee boxes. The course remains heavily tree-lined, and each hole is named after a flower, plant or tree.
Since the Masters is played on the same course every year, there are many trends noted. They include:. The Bentgrass greens are lightning fast, and typically feature run-off areas, slopes and multiple tiers. This is the ultimate test of ball striking to ensure approaches land on the proper tier and allow for better chances to make birdies.
Additionally, seven of the last 10 winners at Augusta had played in the event at least three times prior. Nine of the last 10 winners — with the exception of Danny Willet in — had posted at least a top at The Masters in a season prior to winning the event. Five of the last eight Masters winners ranked 9 th or better in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green in the year of their victory. Note that Willett and Tiger did not play in enough tournaments to be ranked, so this trend could be even stronger than it appears.
Each of the past five winners had recorded AT LEAST a Top-5 finish on the year already, prior to winning the Masters, while three of the past five had already picked up a win within the same calendar year. Each of the last five winners of the Masters had been ranked inside the top of the OWGR at the time of their win. Augusta National is the only course that hosts a major championship each and every season and, therefore, we have a lot of course data at our disposal.
The venue plays as a traditional Par 72 — measuring in at a lengthy 7, yards last season — and features some of the fastest Bentgrass greens on Tour, which are made even more difficult by the slope and elevation changes throughout the course.
Matt Kuchar might be the best example, as the year-old has now played Augusta National 11 times over his career and has only suffered one missed cut, which came in his debut. South African Louis Oosthuizen has a similar story, as the former Open Champion finished runner-up here in and parlayed that experience into three more top finishes between While the course has numerous quirks and intricacies that make it difficult for even the best pros to master, the venue can be broken down more simply by grouping as such:.
The air is thick with anticipation, but the quiet remains. The Par-5s at Augusta all play relatively easy and present the best scoring chances for players during the week. Last year, the four par 5s played as the four easiest holes on the course, with the Par-5 13 th — which plays just yards — as the easiest, yielding a 4.
The short Par-4 3 rd hole, which plays anywhere between yards, has a tricky green but played as the fifth easiest hole on the venue in and easiest Par 4. The short Par-3 16 th , which is well known for its dramatic Sunday pin position and often yields at least one hole-in-one a season, played as the sixth easiest hole in and easiest Par-3 on the course.
This is the well known nickname given to holes 11, 12 and 13 at Augusta, for both their difficulty and the fact exciting things generally happen around these holes. The 13 th , as mentioned above, is a pure scoring hole that yields plenty of eagles and birdies, but the 11 th and 12 th are its polar opposite. In the long Par-4 11 th played as the single most difficult hole on the course, yielding a scoring average of just 4.
This long Par-4, which measures in at just over yards, starts off with one of the more difficult tee shots on the course and includes a small dogleg into a semi-island green. Approaches that land short can often bounce into the hazard due to the generous sloping around the greens.
It has recently led to the self-destruction of final round leaders in both and Augusta contains five Par-4s that measure in at over yards in length and only one that plays shorter than yards. These are the teeth of the course, along with a couple of tough Par 3s, where players must navigate in order to set up their chances at birdie or better on the scoring holes.
These two played as the 4 th and 8 th toughest holes on the venue last season. Bombers like Tiger in his prime and Bubba Watson have done well simply by destroying the Par 5s, which are all on the short to very short side by modern standards. Comparatively, short game specialists and great bentgrass putters — like Jordan Spieth and Patrick Reed — have simply been able to outmaneuver the competition on the greens with their flatsticks.
Both Reed and Spieth rank inside the top in Strokes Gained: Putting on Bentgrass greens over the last rounds played. Even if the course conditions vary only slightly this year, that could be enough to tip the scales in favor of the slightly less experienced players. At this point though, we have to assume Augusta will still be Augusta, and most of its nuances will remain intact.
Still, the date change is something to keep in mind before you approach the virtual betting window. From an odds perspective, here is where the last six-winners of this event generally went off, from an outright perspective, pre-event for the year of their win:. The Green Jacket belongs to Dustin Johnson. As you can see we have a pretty wide range of players here in terms of style, age, and odds.
Jordan Spieth was a co-favorite or favorite at most sportsbooks pre-event in but Reed, Willett, and Sergio hit a trifecta of mid-to-long range outright wins for bettors. As far as age goes, Spieth was the youngest of the past five winners to get it done at Augusta National as he was just years-old at the time of his win. Johnson has dominated Augusta over the latter part of his career, landing T4 or better finishes here in three of his last four visits.
Thomas managed to post his best finish ever at Augusta last November, landing a T4. This will be his sixth career start at Augusta in and he has improved his finishing position here every year. His time for winning a major is coming soon and his only drawback here is that he does carry less experience playing this event than the other top players. Rory ended a mostly disappointing season by putting in a solid T5 effort at Augusta in November.
The result was a bit of smoke and mirrors though as he was never in contention. The year-old will be playing Augusta for the fifth-time this year and fits in the basket of experience level and age that often sees players start competing regularly at this event. The odds and experience look correct here but the stats also bear out that could be a career-year for Cantlay. His ball-striking has always shown flashes of elite play—although perhaps not as consistently as other top players—but his short game and putting took a large step up late in He comes into having gained strokes now around the greens in seven straight starts and will certainly be steeled early in by the knowledge that he stared down putts late at the Zozo Championship with both Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas breathing down his neck.
At solid odds compared to the field, he feels like a worthwhile futures investment here as any early season win would surely see his odds, perhaps even cut in half. From a golf betting perspective, Jason Day is the ultimate Siren, and I fully admit to heading his call more times than not. The truth is though, Day really does offer more realistic upside than pretty much anyone else at his price. We saw some glimpses of the old elite Day in and if he flashes more form early in —or even finds a win somewhere—this number will disappear overnight.
It makes him a decent early investment for value hunters. Even if Rory wins an early season event, will his current odds even move that much?
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